Mostly speculative presentation on Google+ and business. But never too late to start planning.
There will be some PC’s is not denying there won’t be fewer PC’s. Microsoft’s “But you can’t count on a phone” argument only applies if people only have access to one device.
I mean, the only way such a post would be even remotely surprising is if Frank Shaw didn’t have these feelings. Of course, he also wouldn’t work for Microsoft if that were the case, because who works for a company they think has no future? (Actually, plenty of people do — but Shaw is in a position where he certainly wouldn’t have to.)
While Shaw’s post may be obvious, also probably obvious is that I disagree with a lot of it. I don’t disagree with his main point — that the PC won’t be killed anytime soon — but I disagree with the notion of framing his entire argument this way.
When most people bring up “Post-PC”, they cite Steve Jobs’ use of the term. Again, no surprise there, he’s the man ushering in the devices of this era. Of course, he also ushered in the PC era itself, but that’s another matter. The key thing Shaw leaves out (he never mentions Jobs or Apple at all — which, again, could not be any less surprising) is that Jobs himself has said that in the Post-PC world, the PC doesn’t die, it just fades into the background of computing. It becomes the “truck,” as Jobs called it.
By saying that smartphones, tablets, etc, aren’t going to kill PCs, Shaw is distracting everyone from the real argument. He never bothers to mention that these devices could very well shove the PC out of the limelight as a consumer device. In fact, many numbers suggest this is already happening.
Yes, PCs remain better tools for creation at this point, in my view. But thinking that tablets and smartphones won’t continue to improve and attack that space as well is foolish. Shaw is making an argument for why the PC is better at content creation now. What about two years from now? What about five years from now?
The PC will evolve as well, but the fact of the matter is that it’s a mature product. The basics haven’t changed much in the past 20 years. The specs increase, and the bodies slightly morph (though, again, you could credit Apple with that more than anyone else), but the real action and innovation is happening outside the walls of the PC.
Oh, but Windows 8 will change that! We’ll see. Software is great, but it can only do so much. I’d have more faith in Microsoft transforming the PC for the future if they made PCs as well. Instead, HP does.
No matter what you think of HP’s big moves this past week, their step away from the PC world speaks volumes. They’re not doing it because they’re batshit crazy. They’re doing it because sales are declining and the margins suck. They’re doing it because they can’t beat Apple.
It’s not a good sign for an industry when the leader of that industry quits and walks away. No amount of spin can change that.
One wonders if this will be a blip on the enterprise IT radar. We can see the help desk ticket now. "Can you install VPN on my HP touchpad?"
From the Best Buy sale page:
HP TOUCHPAD CLEARANCE AND RETURN POLICY
Due to HP’s decision to discontinue its TouchPad product, Best Buy® will now provide clearance pricing for all TouchPad 16GB and 32GB models (SKUs 2842056, 2842092) regardless of previously advertised prices or promotions.
Best Buy will not accept customer returns or exchanges on clearance-priced TouchPads bought through any Best Buy channel.
Customers purchasing a TouchPad at clearance pricing will have a 1-year manufacturer’s warranty, fulfilled directly through HP, not Best Buy.
Customers who purchased the 16GB or 32GB TouchPad after June 19 may come into the store to get either a full refund or a refund of the difference between the price they paid and the clearance price.
Quantities are strictly limited. Limit 1 per customer. Best Buy cannot guarantee availability of inventory at this pricing at any particular Best Buy location or channel.
This is a change from yesterday, where we couldn’t even buy one.
So PCs are losing marketshare to Ipads. This is documented. But this CNN commenter makes a good point about a secondary disincentive to PC buying.
GoAwayObama: The problem with PC sales is there hasnt been any real speed increases in CPU’s in years. I just got a brand new top of the line core i7. It has 8 cores, but its really not any faster than the 5 yr old computer it replaced.
VoteObama012: Nice post GoAwayObama! I completely agree with you. The pc is now a commodity like a tv, toaster, or microwave.
It’s no secret that one of the frustrations of Google Apps is not being able to access many of Google’s services with your Google Apps account.
What makes it even more challenging is that Google doesn’t make it easy to be concurrently logged in to a personal account and a Google Apps account (though it is possible).
Right now Google recommends you use a personal account to access Google+ (you can be logged in to two Google accounts at once via Settings, or simply keep your secondary Google session active in another browser.).
If your personal account is the same email address as one in your Google Apps domain, Google calls this is a “conflicting account.” (This is not the same thing as your Google Apps account being your only Google account.)
People with conflicting accounts will later be asked to rename their personal account, according to this Google support article.
Two things of note here:
1) The group is looking to help guide you to set up a Science Hack Day in your own city. Please take them up on this.
2) There are some scholarships available for you to go to San Francisco, attend their Science Hack Day, and see how it’s done.
Want to set up a Science Hack Day in your city? Would you like to be flown to San Francisco’s Science Hack Day on November 12-13 to get inspired? As I posted last month, Institute for the Future (IFTF) and my colleague Ariel “Spacehack" Waldman received a grant for Science Hack Day enabling ten people from around the world to be flown to the San Francisco event. Deadline to apply is 8/31. Ariel says:
From building a lamp that lights up every timean asteroid or International Space Station flies by the Earth to mashing up accelerator lab data with sounds to hear what particle collisions in super colliders might sound like, web geeks and science geeks around the world are getting excited and making unexpected things with science – and you can, too!
Science Hack Day is a 48-hour-all-night event that brings together designers, developers, scientists and other geeks in the same physical space for a brief but intense period of collaboration, hacking, and building ‘cool stuff’. They’re already beginning to pop up across the world in the coming months, from Dublin to Cape Town and a dozen cities in between.
Related to earlier-established theme of access…
“ The CSA is a collaboration of scientists, software developers and educators who collectively develop, manage and utilise internet-based citizen science projects in order to further science itself, and the public understanding of both science and of the scientific process. These projects use the time, abilities and energies of a distributed community of citizen scientists who are our collaborators ”
And yes, they even have space projects.